SOUTH PACIFIC OCEAN - System 96P Develops
System 96P, an area of convection, has persisted near 12.3 degrees south latitude and 147.9 degrees west longitude, about 340 nautical miles northeast of Bora Bora.
This infrared image is from NOAA's GOES-West satellite today, Dec. 1.
Animated infrared satellite imagery shows a developing band of deep convection building along the northern half of a low level circulation center. Strongest winds are located in the northeastern quadrant.
Sea surface temperatures within the region are favorable for development, between 29 and 30 Celsius (84.2 to 86 Fahrenheit). Tropical cyclones need sea surface temperatures of at least 26.6 C/80F to develop. An analysis of the upper atmosphere indicates that System 96P is in moderate vertical wind shear (15 to 20 knots) which is inhibiting thunderstorms from developing over the low-level center.
Maximum sustained surface winds are estimated at 15 to 20 knots (17.2 to 23.0 mph/27.7 to 37.0 kph). Minimum sea level pressure is estimated to be near 1007 millibars. The potential for the development of a significant tropical cyclone within the next 24 hours is low.
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